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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 16 June 2026 by the Civic Insight weather desk. Data from national met services via Open-Meteo.
A moderate rainfall warning is in force across much of central and southern England until midday Saturday, with 20–35 mm expected widely and up to 50 mm over higher ground in the South West and Home Counties.
Which areas are covered and what does the warning mean?
The Met Office yellow warning stretches from the Severn Estuary across the Midlands to East Anglia and down into London and the South East. Neighbouring regions—including the Welsh borders and the South Coast—can expect heavy, persistent rain that may cause localised flooding and travel disruption. This is not a dangerous storm, but drivers should allow extra time and watch for standing water on roads.
How does a moderate rainfall warning compare to other alerts?
An amber weather warning meaning “severe” is reserved for widespread disruption and risk to life. A yellow warning for rain—often called a moderate rainfall warning—indicates that most people can go about their day but should be aware of possible delays and minor flooding. The moderate rainfall warning map shows the affected strip runs from Gloucester to East Anglia, with the heaviest totals expected over the Cotswolds and Chilterns.
Will the moderate rainfall warning affect London?
Yes, the moderate rainfall warning London sits inside the yellow zone. The capital can expect 20–30 mm between Friday morning and early Saturday, with the heaviest bursts during the Friday evening commute.
Is this related to the storm to hit Britain this weekend?
No. The storm to hit Britain this weekend is a separate deep low forecast for Sunday into Monday. Today’s moderate rainfall warning is a pre-frontal band of rain that clears before the weekend storm arrives.
What should I do if I’m caught in heavy rain?
Reduce speed, increase stopping distance, and avoid driving through floodwater. Check local flood alerts via the Environment Agency and allow extra time for journeys. Keep pets indoors if possible.
For the longer outlook, see our 10 Day Weather Forecast UK and UK weather hub. Stay aware of any met office snow warning or weather warning scotland updates. Storm warnings uk today remain separate from this moderate event, but the Spain Weather Warnings page covers southward systems if you’re travelling.